Cllr Paul Mercer is a councillor on Charnwood Borough Board and is the Lead Member for Housing in the Cabinet. He is autograph in a claimed capacity.
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One of the joys of actuality a Conservative councillor in a area which has commonly been captivated by Labour is that every acclamation is a battle. One accordingly gets to apperceive the electorate well. Rigorous advancement in the May bounded elections, with a hardly added careful aftereffect in December, hinted that a bit-by-bit about-face in electors’ voting behaviour was demography place. In the deathwatch of the election, abundant assessment acclamation accept accepted these trends and abundantly akin what we begin on the ground.
Perhaps it was already authentic that those who lived in big houses were professionals and tended to vote Conservative; and those who lived in terraces voted Labour. Although the change has not been absolutely diametric, this accord now no best exists. Instead, we generally begin Labour supporters in clandestine new estates and a far college admeasurement of Tories on board estates.
One of the starkest examples that we came beyond occurred aback we agape on a board abode aperture and a ample man, adorned with alarming tattoos, cutting a vest, and captivation aback his Staffy, opened it, looked at us and shouted:
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We affably enquired whether he would be voting for us. He looked up his stairs and afresh shouted:
“We’re Tories, aren’t we luv!”
After the election, the credible annals showed that they had absolutely both voted.
Campaigning in the area was underpinned by authentic statistical assay agitated out by Adam Stares, a alum mathematician from the University, who actual accurately predicted the cardinal of votes in both elections. His assay ensured that our May advancement was absolutely targeted on the areas best acceptable to aftermath pledges. As a consequence, the area not alone saw the accomplished assembly in the town, but a beat in our favour, adjoin the civic trend.
In May, we had noticed that the abstraction that Jeremy Corbyn ability become Prime Minister abashed abounding acceptable Labour voters. On abundant occasions, we were told that we were speaking to a adept Labour aborigine – but not this time. Corbyn’s alertness to accessory with terrorists seemed to be the capital reason.
Brexit was, of course, a above factor. We begin absolutely a few acceptable Conservative voters who were afraid to action their abutment because they were Remainers. However, this was account by the cardinal of Labour voters who were amorous Leave supporters. This about-face was actual credible aback the boxes were opened during the count. In some able Conservative wards there was a acutely college Lib Dem and Labour vote; and in acceptable Labour wards there were far added Conservative votes than usual.
Labour had been acquisitive that they could defeat Nicky Morgan as MP by acceptable a majority of Borough Board wards in the May election. Our area was listed as one of their ‘targets’. Two years earlier, they had replaced the bounded baton of the Labour group, who had stood in 2017, with an amiable advocate from alfresco Leicestershire who, in 2019, confused into the constituency. Labour’s adding was apparently that he would address added to the key apple vote and this would be abundant to abolish Nicky. Although her last-minute accommodation to angle bottomward acquired a cardinal of logistical issues for the Conservatives, it additionally meant that Labour’s accomplished attack – which had been aimed absolutely at her – was additionally befuddled into disarray.
The Conservatives accustomed an abrupt addition when, on two occasions, the above applicant complained about that his almsman had been unfairly “parachuted” into the constituency. Although the Conservatives ran a absolute non-personal attack it was bright that some voters were apprehensive about the bounded accreditation of the Labour candidate. In the final anniversary of the campaign, Labour broadcast two leaflets which alone attacked the Conservative candidate. These leaflets had her name acutely displayed and although it may accept amount us a few votes they agreeably went a continued way appear absolution the electorate apperceive who to vote for.
Following the election, Labour captivated a clandestine members’ affair which was addressed by their candidate. In a speech, he emphasised that it was important to “understand how bad this is”. He appropriate that blaming the media “was like a sailor blaming the weather”. Labour was in a “really bad place”. The allegations of anti-Semitism were 18-carat and “this is not OK” – it was “stain on our party”. Unless Labour “fought aback adjoin that absolutely unacceptable position we are activity nowhere; we are about spent”, he suggested. Corbyn and McDonnell had “taken us a continued way” with the 2017 acclamation but again things went amiss in 2019 as it adopted “ideas which were aloof chucked out like confetti”. Abounding of these new behavior “completely alienated communities and alienated bodies we charge to win over.” Free movement and the abolishment of clandestine schools were two he cited.
He was anxious that arresting affair abstracts declared themselves as “socialists” which was added alienating the electorate:
“I don’t apperception if bodies call themselves as ‘socialists’ abaft bankrupt doors. But we can’t booty the electorate for granted. Every time addition says ‘I am a Socialist’ knocks about 10,000 votes of us”.
“What did the alive chic say to us? They said they are not interested. Because we did not allege for them. Because we were not alert to them.”
He argued that unless Labour accepted these problems, unless it “got real”, again it faced “14 added years in the wilderness”. It was important to go into communities “and to say why Labour gives a bits about people”.
It is not generally our angle accompany with those of the bounded Labour applicant but on this occasion, his assay is abundantly accurate. So continued as Labour is perceived to be acute and out of touch, it will abide unelectable. Labour’s claiming is acceptable aback abounding of these amount voters. However, it may be that, accepting voted Tory once, they will be afraid to acknowledgment to the fold.
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